UMass!! should be a 15, was a 6 (-9)On the other end of the stick:
St. Louis should be a 10, was a 5 (-5)
Colorado should be a 13, was an 8 (-5)
St. Joseph's should be a 15, was a 10 (-5)
New Mexico State should be an "18", was a 13 (-5)
Syracuse should be a 7, was a 3 (-4)
Iowa should be a 4, was an 11 (+7)
Oklahoma St. should be a 2, was a 9 (+7)
Tennessee should be a 5, was an 11 (+6)
Ohio State should be a 2, was a 6 (+4)
Harvard should be a 9, was an 11 (+2)
The Iowa/Tennessee mis-rating is particularly interesting. The two most underseeded teams play each other, and then the winner gets UMass, the most overseeded team in the tournament. Similarly we get underseeded tOSU against overseeded Syracuse in the second round. Of course, the most egregious mistake might be Louisville as a 4 seed. And overseeded St. Louis gets them in the second round.
I'm tempted to say that the Committee was intentionally stacking the seeding to create "upsets".
Here are the teams that the Committee got right:
UCLA (my team) got a pretty favorable draw for the first two rounds. Then they run into their old nemesis Florida, a match-up I'm sure the Committee considered when laying out the regions.