Monday, January 27, 2014

Top Twenty & Predictions (1/27)


1 Oklahoma St. 33.99
--
2 Louisville 33.96
(+1)
3 Arizona 33.67
(-1)
4 Duke 32.74
(+4)
5 Iowa 32.73
(-1)
6 Kentucky 32.58
(+2)
7 Creighton 32.58
(+4)
8 Michigan 32.03
(+5)
9 Kansas 32.01
--
10 Iowa St. 31.87
(+2)
11 UCLA 31.84
(+5)
12 Ohio St. 31.75
(-6)
13 Villanova 31.65
(-8)
14 Pittsburgh 31.55
(+4)
15 Syracuse 31.55
(-1)
16 Michigan St. 31.53
(-4)
17 Florida 31.33
(+2)
18 Arkansas 31.12
(-1)
19 Wisconsin 31.02
(-3)
20 Arizona St. 31
NEW

Oklahoma State clings to the #1 spot but Louisville continues to slowly gain ground.  The big movers this week include UCLA (+5), Michigan (+5), and tOSU (-6), Villanova (-8).  UCLA's probably the mystery there.  Certainly they benefit from solid wins over Stanford and Cal, but that seems like a big jump just based on those games.
PREDICTIONS
#11 Oklahoma State @ #25 Oklahoma:  Oklahoma State by 2
#24 Baylor @ #11 Oklahoma State: Oklahoma State by 17

The first game was an upset alert when I accidentally predicted it last week, but Oklahoma has regressed slightly since then.  Still a good chance for an upset, though.  Baylor's going to be out of the AP Top 25 after this week.
#18 Duke @ #20 Pittsburgh: Pittsburgh +4
#18 Duke @ #2 Syracuse: Syracuse +3

Duke has the ACC road trip from hell this week.  If they can win one or both of these games it will solidify their ranking.  Interesting that the PM thinks they have a better chance @Syracuse.
#3 MSU @ #10 Iowa: Iowa +6

Iowa is one of those teams the PM respects more than the AP does, so this will be an interesting test.
UPSET ALERT
#14 Kentucky @ LSU:  Toss-up
This could be a "trap" game for Kentucky's freshmen.
#16 Iowa St. @ #8 Kansas: Kansas +6
ISU is not quite as good as they looked earlier in the season.
#15 Cincy @ #11 Louisville: Louisville +15

Cincy bubbles on and off the bottom of the PM's Top Twenty while Louisville is solidly at the top, so it should be no surprise that the PM thinks this will be an easy victory for the Cardinals.
#17 tOSU @ #9 Wisconsin:  Wisconsin +6
These two teams have been racing each other to be the first to drop off the Top Twenty, but one of them will have to win.  Probably the home team.
BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK:   UCF @ #11 Louisville:  Louisville by 25
TOSS-UP OF THE WEEK:   Houston Baptist @ Lamar

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