Monday, January 13, 2014

Top Twenty (1/13)

1 Oklahoma St. 34.19
2 Arizona 33.23
3 Louisville 33.08
4 Iowa St. 32.75
5 Iowa 32.66
6 Ohio St. 32.63
7 Creighton 32.19
8 Kentucky 32.13
9 Villanova 32.12
10 Wisconsin 31.66
11 Duke 31.65
12 Syracuse 31.65
13 Arkansas 31.5
14 Michigan St. 31.44
15 UCLA 31.43
16 Kansas 31.4
17 Pittsburgh 31.32
18 Michigan 31.31
19 Cincinnati 31.01
20 Arizona St. 30.91
Big upward moves this week were Wisconsin +7, Kansas +5, and Iowa, UCLA and Pittsburgh all jumping 4 spots.  Downward:  Gonzaga -8, Arkansas -7, Michigan -6.  Oklahoma State continues to cling to the top spot with Arizona and Louisville closing fast.

PREDICTIONS

#15 Kansas @ #8 ISU:  ISU by 7

Should be a straightfoward ISU win.
#3 Wisconsin @ Indiana:  Wisconsin by 3

I'm surprised to see this close a prediction.  The PM has Indiana at #46.
#13 Kentucky @ Arkansas:  Arkansas by 5

The PM thinks more of Arkansas than most observers; this will be a good test for them.
#11 tOSU @ Minnesota:  tOSU by 1.5

The Gophers get another shot at a big win.  They played MSU to OT before losing -- can they pull off something against Ohio State?
#25 UCLA @ #21 Colorado:  Colorado by 4

The PM can't factor in the Dinwiddie injury, so this might be closer than predicted.  Or UCLA might end up losing twice this week -- Utah is better than most people know.  (4 losses by a total of 9 points, including an OT loss to then #10 Oregon.)
#22 Pittsburgh @ #2 Syracuse:  Syracuse by 4

Another game where I'd expect a bigger margin.
#25 Oklahoma @ #12 Baylor: Baylor by 7

I'm not sure why either of these teams are ranked, although the PM has Baylor just outside the top 25.  That will change after Baylor loses to Texas Tech earlier in the week.
TOSS-UP OF THE WEEK

#9 Oklahoma St @ #15 Kansas:  <1 point

It's going to be tough for Oklahoma State to win at Kansas.
BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK
TCU @ #9 Oklahoma St: Oklahoma St by 28

The Cowboys pull of the rare two-fer by appearing in both the Toss-Up and the Blowout.

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